Refereed Publications

(*) Universal Basic Income: Inspecting the mechanisms (with Itay Saporta-Eksten, Ofer Setty, Yaniv Yedid-Levi — see online appendix here:) forthcoming, Review of Economics and Statistics

(*) Under the Hood of the Routine Share Decline: Evidence from Establishments (with Nicolas Vincent and Ben Zhang): Economic Letters, 2023

(*) Location, Location, Location: Manufacturing and House Price Growth (with Xiangyu Feng, Krishna Rao, Stephen Terry, and Nicolas Vincent): Economic Journal, 2023

(*) The Macroeconomics of Automation: Data, Theory, and Policy Analysis, (with Itay Saporta-Eksten, Henry Siu, and Yaniv Yedid-Levi): Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021

(*) Comment on "Shocks, Institutions, and Secular Changes in Employment of Older Individuals”, NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2021.

(*) The Growing Importance of Social Tasks in High-Paying Occupations: Implications for Sorting, (with Guido Matias Cortes, and Henry Siu): Journal of Human Resources 2021. See the media coverage at The Wall Street Journal (and picked up by Fortune), Quartz, Bloomberg, Livemint, Bloomberg View, The Sydney Morning Herald, and The Guardian; listen to our podcast summary at voxeu.org. 

(*) The Dynamics of Disappearing Routine Jobs: A Flows Approach, (with Matias Cortes, Christopher Nekarda, Henry Siu), Labor Economics, 2020. See the media coverage at the new york times, fivethirtyeight, the washington center for equitable growth, and the globe and mail; see our summary column at voxeu.org.

(*) The Trend is the Cycle: Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries, (with Henry Siu), Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020. See the media coverage at The New York Times (also appearing in The Globe and Mail, Irish Independent, Belfast Telegraph, and Reuters), The Atlantic, Bloomberg, Businessweek (also appearing in Financial Post and the Boston Globe), Forbes, Businessweek, Austin American-Statesman (also appearing in Pittsburgh Post-Gazette and the Vancouver Sun), Bloomberg, Standard-Examiner, The New York Times, US News and World Report, Huffington Post, Chicago Sun-Times, The Atlantic (also appearing in National Journal), The Associated Press (appearing in Washington Post, San Francisco Chronicle, Salon.com, Huffington Post, ABC News, and Yahoo News), Deseret News, The Globe and Mail, The Associated Press (appearing in Washington Post, Financial Post, Boston Globe, Minneapolis Star Tribune, San Jose Mercury News, and ABC News), and the Washington Post; see the blog coverage at MacroMania, macroblog, IPPR, The Economist, Washington Post, New Statesman, Economist's View, The Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Economist's View, Mother Jones, American Enterprise Institute, The New York Times, Brad Delong, The Economist, and The Economist; see the summaries in the St. Louis Fed's Regional Economist, The NBER digest, the Dallas Fed's Economic Letter, and our column at voxeu.org.

(*) How Automation and Other Forms of IT affect the Middle Class: Assessing the Estimates, (with Henry Siu), Brookings Economics Study Report, 2019.

(*) Trading up and the Skill Premium, (with Ben Miao, Sergio Rebelo and Arlene Wong), NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2019.

(*) Trading Down and the Business Cycle, (with Sergio Rebelo and Arlene Wong), Journal of Monetary Economics, 2019.

(*) Really Uncertain Business Cycles, (with Nick Bloom, Max Floetotto, Itay Saporta-Eksten, and Stephen J. Terry) Econometrica, 2018.

(*) Disappearing Routine Jobs: Who, How, and Why?, (with Guido Matias Cortes, and Henry Siu) Journal of Monetary Economics, 2017. See the media coverage at The Wall Street Journal and various sources via The Associated Press.

(*) High-Skilled Immigration, STEM Employment, and Routine-Biased Technical Change, (with Henry Siu) prepared for Talent Flows in the Global Economy, G. Hanson, W. Kerr, and S. Turner (eds.), NBER Volume, University of Chicago Press .

(*) Non-linear Effects of Taxation on Growth, (with Sergio Rebelo), Journal of Political Economy, 2017.

(*) What Should I be when I Grow Up? Occupations and Unemployment over the Life Cycle, with Martin Gervais, Henry Siu, and Yaniv Yedid-Levi) Journal of Monetary Economics, 2016. See the media coverage at FiveThirtyEight, The Washington Center for Equitable Growth, Yahoo! Finance, The Atlantic (also appearing at Big Think and Deseret News), The Washington Post, The New York Times and ABC Radio National.

(*) Price Stickiness: Empirical Evidence of the Menu Cost Channel, (with Eric Anderson and Duncan Simester) Review of Economics and Statistics, 2015.

(*) Technological Learning and Labor Market Dynamics, (with Martin Gervais, Yaniv Yedid-Levi, and Henry Siu) International Economic Review, 2015.

(*) How Frequent are Small Price Changes, (with Marty Eichenbaum, Sergio Rebelo, Josephine Smith) American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2014.

(*) The Demand for Youth: Explaining Age Differences in the Volatility of Hours, (with Henry Siu and Seth Pruitt) American Economic Review, 2013.

(*) Reference Prices and Nominal Rigidities, (with Marty Eichenbaum and Sergio Rebelo). American Economic Review, 2011.

(*) Can News about the Future Drive the Business Cycle?, (with Sergio Rebelo) American Economic Review, 2009 (lead article).

(*) The Young, the Old, and the Restless: Demographics and Business Cycle Volatility, (with Henry Siu) American Economic Review, 2009. See the coverage in the Minneapolis Fed's The Region, The Richmond Fed's Around the Fed, and The American; see the blog coverage at Greg Mankiw's Blog, New Economist, Economist's View, and Newsweek.

(*) News and Business Cycles in Open Economies, (with Sergio Rebelo) Journal of Money Credit and Banking, 2008.

(*) Firm Dynamics, Markup Variations and the Business Cycle, (with Max Floetotto) Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008.

(*) Income Effects and Indeterminacy in a Calibrated One-Sector Growth Model, Journal of Economic Theory, 2008.

(*) Behavioural Theories of the Business Cycle, (with Sergio Rebelo) Journal of the European Economic Association, 2007.

(*) Firm Dynamics and Markup Variations: Implications for Multiple Equilibria and Endogenous Economic Fluctuations, Journal of Economic Theory, 2007.

Non-Refereed Publications

(*) Jobless Recoveries, (with Henry Siu) Third Way Next, Washington DC, 2015. See the media coverage at The Wall Street Journal (also appearing at Slate.fr), Brookings Institution, Deseret News, The BBC World Update (begins at 8:50 mark), The Wall Street Journal, The Atlantic, Airtalk (NPR - Los Angeles), and MIT Technology Review.

(*) Demographics, Job Polarization, and Macroeconomic Analysis of Labor Market, (with Henry Siu), NBER Reporter, 2014(4).

(*) The Research Agenda: The Changing Nature of Business Cycles , Review of Economics Dynamics, 2015.

(*) News Shocks, The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, April2017.